Is Machine Learning Getting Us Closer to Predicting Eruptions?

The 2019 tragedy at New Zealand White Island might have been prevented if there was more warning. Could machine learning allow for better, true prediction of volcanic eruptions?

Rocky Planet iconRocky Planet
By Erik Klemetti
Jul 21, 2020 2:55 PMJul 22, 2020 10:31 PM
White Island
White Island/Whakaari in New Zealand. Credit: David Broad, Wikimedia Commons.

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When Whakaari (White Island) in New Zealand unexpectedly erupted in December 2019, more than 40 tourists found themselves trapped on a small island that was exploding. The hot gases and water, flying rocks and ash killed 21 people during that eruption. This tragedy was a wake-up call for tour operators who would regularly bring people to this restless volcano in the Bay of Plenty. It is a volcano that produces steam-driven explosions that come with little warning, and it is these types of blasts that have killed dozens of people on volcanoes around the world over the past decade.

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