City-Killer Asteroid Won't Harm Earth, But It May Hit the Moon Instead

Learn about the latest update on asteroid 2024 YR4, which now has a 3.8 percent chance to impact the Moon.

By Jack Knudson
Apr 4, 2025 9:30 PM
the moon
(Image Credit: Grey Zone/Shutterstock)

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Asteroid 2024 YR4 had everyone collectively holding their breath just months ago, but now, it appears that the “city-killer” asteroid has a stronger chance of striking the Moon, not Earth. The asteroid currently has a 3.8 percent chance to hit the Moon on December 22, 2032, according to the latest announcement from NASA.

Ongoing infrared observations by the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) have continued to unveil more precise information about 2024 YR4 and its potential trajectory throughout space, yet the asteroid’s ultimate fate is far from being set in stone. 

Asteroid 2024 YR4's New Potential Target

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