Environment

Are the Tropics Heating Up?

The IntersectionBy Chris MooneyAug 10, 2010 10:53 AM

Newsletter

Sign up for our email newsletter for the latest science news
 

I must say I'm a bit surprised the hurricanes have been so quiet lately. However, there are reasons to think that will soon change.

First, there's the Atlantic right now, with a 50 % probability area and a 70 % probability area:

But moreover, there's also the following NOAA figure, obtained courtesy of Eric Berger and showing the distribution of activity in an average hurricane season. As you can see, we're right where the slope starts to go way, way up:

Again, given the warmth of the ocean and the conducive atmospheric conditions, I would have expected another hurricane before now. But nevertheless, it's undeniable that climatologically, things are only beginning.

And as for what hurricanes can do--I need only refer once again to my Mom's new book, with her vacant lot on the cover where a house once was.

1 free article left
Want More? Get unlimited access for as low as $1.99/month

Already a subscriber?

Register or Log In

1 free articleSubscribe
Discover Magazine Logo
Want more?

Keep reading for as low as $1.99!

Subscribe

Already a subscriber?

Register or Log In

More From Discover
Recommendations From Our Store
Shop Now
Stay Curious
Join
Our List

Sign up for our weekly science updates.

 
Subscribe
To The Magazine

Save up to 70% off the cover price when you subscribe to Discover magazine.

Copyright © 2023 Kalmbach Media Co.