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We Aren't Sure If (Or When) Artificial Intelligence Will Surpass the Human Mind

Experts say the future of AI is uncertain, but it wouldn't hurt to prepare for the possibility of singularity.

Avery Hurt
ByAvery Hurt
Credit: Omelchenko/Shutterstock

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It may sound like nothing more than a thrilling science fiction trope, but scientists who study artificial intelligence warn that AI singularity — a point when the technology irreversibly surpasses the capabilities of the human mind — is a real possibility, and some say it will happen within a few decades.

Surveys of AI experts, including this one published in the Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research in 2018, tend to find that a significant chunk of researchers think there’s at least a 50 percent chance that some people alive today will live to see an AI singularity. Some expect it within the next decade.

The moment AI reaches human-level intelligence will mark a profound change in the world. Such sophisticated AI could create more, increasingly advanced AI. At that point it might become difficult — if not impossible — to control.

For some background, AI caught the public’s attention in ...

  • Avery Hurt

    Avery Hurt

    Avery Hurt is a freelance science journalist who frequently writes for Discover Magazine, covering scientific studies on topics like neuroscience, insects, and microbes.

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