Register for an account


Enter your name and email address below.

Your email address is used to log in and will not be shared or sold. Read our privacy policy.


Website access code

Enter your access code into the form field below.

If you are a Zinio, Nook, Kindle, Apple, or Google Play subscriber, you can enter your website access code to gain subscriber access. Your website access code is located in the upper right corner of the Table of Contents page of your digital edition.

Planet Earth

The 2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Get Ready for 2 or Even 3 More Months

The IntersectionBy Chris MooneySeptember 5, 2007 1:11 AM


Sign up for our email newsletter for the latest science news

Colorado State's Phil Klotzbach and Bill Gray are out with their next Atlantic seasonal hurricane forecast (PDF), and get this: They're calling for three more Atlantic hurricanes in September, one of them intense (Category 3-5). They're also calling for two more hurricanes in October-November, including yet another intense one. The total forecast (including Felix as a September storm) is for 9 more named storms, five more hurricanes, and two more intense hurricanes. In short, we are hardly in the clear yet. The prediction of a busy October-November, in particular, seems consistent with NOAA's recent release of the latest El Nino/La Nina forecast, which for the first time plainly states: "La Nina conditions are developing across the tropical Pacific" (PDF). La Nina is generally correlated with longer lasting and very active Atlantic hurricane seasons. So batten down the hatches--we have a long, long way to go. And as someone who plans to visit New Orleans this month, let me leave you with a picture that really scares me--the tropical cyclone heat potential in the Gulf of Mexico as of yesterday:


    3 Free Articles Left

    Want it all? Get unlimited access when you subscribe.


    Already a subscriber? Register or Log In

    Want unlimited access?

    Subscribe today and save 50%


    Already a subscriber? Register or Log In