Planet Earth

Hurricane Earl Track Shifted West; Keeps Strengthening; Eye Opening

The IntersectionBy Chris MooneyAug 30, 2010 12:42 PM

Newsletter

Sign up for our email newsletter for the latest science news
 

Not good news this morning, as the National Hurricane Center felt the need to shift the forecast track for Hurricane Earl to the west--e.g., closer to the U.S. east coast. Earl is now a 95 knot Category 2 hurricane, and given how much it has strengthened in the past 24 hours, seems on course towards Category 3 or 4 today. Here's what the forecasters say:

GIVEN THE LARGE SHIFT IN THE MODELS...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED TO THE LEFT...OR WEST...BUT STILL LIES ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE SUITE. THIS IS A GOOD TIME TO REMIND EVERYONE THAT NHC AVERAGE TRACK FORECAST ERRORS ARE 200 TO 300 MILES AT DAYS 4 AND 5. GIVEN THIS UNCERTAINTY...IT IS TOO SOON TO DETERMINE WHAT...IF ANY...PARTS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST MIGHT SEE DIRECT IMPACTS FROM EARL LATER THIS WEEK.

In other words--we don't want to unreasonably scare you... ...but it is certainly time to sit up and pay attention to this storm. Earl's new track is below:

1 free article left
Want More? Get unlimited access for as low as $1.99/month
Already a subscriber? Log In or Register
1 free articleSubscribe
Want unlimited access?

Subscribe today and save 70%

Subscribe

Already a subscriber? Log In or Register
More From Discover
Recommendations From Our Store
Shop Now
Stay Curious
Join
Our List

Sign up for our weekly science updates.

 
Subscribe
To The Magazine

Save up to 70% off the cover price when you subscribe to Discover magazine.

Copyright © 2021 Kalmbach Media Co.