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Compensation?

Explore hurricane basins activity and their shifts, revealing why the North Atlantic might see less action this season.

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There's a widespread notion that hurricane basins across the world take turns having active and inactive years. It's epitomized, for example, in this 2005 NOAA press release anticipating a slow season for the East Pacific:

"There tends to be a seesaw affect between the East Pacific and North Atlantic hurricane seasons," said Jim Laver, director, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center in Camp Springs, Md. "When there is above normal seasonal activity in the Atlantic there tends to be below normal seasonal activity in the Pacific. This has been especially true since 1995. Six of the last ten East Pacific hurricane seasons have been below normal, and NOAA scientists are expecting lower levels of activity again this season."

This notion of compensation is actually controversial. Still, it helps to set the current North Atlantic hurricane season, which doesn't look anything like 2005, in its proper global context. That's a necessary precondition for ...

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