I am jesting with the title of this post, but only in part. You see, never before in my memory have I seen hurricane intensity models in such radical agreement on a storm as I now see for the storm named Indlada in the South Indian (via Kerry Emanuel's website):
Indeed, there seems to be more consensus on the intensity forecast than there is on the storm's name (which I have variously seen spelled "Indlada" and "Indlala"). Last week the rapid intensification of Cyclone George was not well predicted, but if ever there was a case when we would expect the models to be reliable, it's when the ensemble of different outcomes agrees this closely. Now watch them all be completely wrong....
