The prognostications are starting to roll in for the upcoming hurricane season, which officially begins June 1 (although really, and as we saw last year, the start and end dates are a bit arbitrary). So far, there's not a lot of optimism. According to reporting by the St. Petersburg Times: "Sea surface temperatures are above average, La Nina has returned and the Atlantic Basin remains in an 'up' cycle for storms." An El Nino in the Pacific tends to suppress hurricanes in the Atlantic, but with La Nina it's the opposite. Anyway, it's still early--but it doesn't sound like there's much to be particularly hopeful about....
P.S.: Kevin is blogging about a recent paper on the 2005 season; I read it and I don't see how it relates directly to previous work on global warming and hurricanes. So I commented to that effect. You can check it out.
