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The Upside to Alarmism?

Explore the debate on population growth concerns and how Paul Ehrlich's predictions influenced policy responses.

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The population issue has bubbled to the surface this year, with Fred Pearce calling concerns of population growth a "green myth" and Philip Longman, more recently in Foreign Policy magazine, warning about a planet of graybeards. It's nearly impossible to discuss population without mentioning Paul Ehrlich's role in the debate, and usually he comes out not looking so good. But in an interesting twist, one demography researcher argues that maybe Ehrlich's dire predictions didn't happen because...well...policymakers took them seriously. Here's the thrust of the argument:

Alarmism is useful when it grabs the attention of policymakers and a public that is overloaded with information, but it is also risky. Both Pearce and Longman take jabs at Paul Ehrlich because his "population bomb" never exploded. What they fail to note is that Ehrlich's predictions could have proven right, except that he was successful at scaring a generation of policymakers into action. Funding ...

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