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The Sciences

Women lead early presidential polling

Cosmic VarianceBy Risa WechslerOctober 24, 2005 4:06 AM


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Like Mark, I'm not a big fan of either Condoleezza Rice or Hillary Clinton as a presidential prospect, and I think it's likely that both may be too tainted by the lies of the respective administrations they are associated with (just you wait, Condi). But this graph (via the polling report) is pretty amazing. I'm guessing that this must be the first time in American history that a woman has been in the lead for the presidential primaries of both major parties. Must be Geena Davis's fault. Also worth noting that the top 3 contenders in the Republican primary (>60% of the vote) are generally referred to (depending on the topic) as "moderates" (the top two are at least moderately pro-choice) -- despite the frequent loud claims about the Republican base would never support such people. Poor Frist and Santorum got so little support in the poll that they didn't even make it onto the graphic... UPDATE: Pam at Pandagon points to a recent poll indicating that 28% of voters are unlikely to vote for a women of either party for President, no matter who she is. I'm not surprised, but this just points to one more reason it will be difficult for either of the above women to win. As Moshe points out below, these early polls are notoriously unrelated to who actually wins the nomination, but this does still seem like an important milestone.

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