Stay Curious

SIGN UP FOR OUR WEEKLY NEWSLETTER AND UNLOCK ONE MORE ARTICLE FOR FREE.

Sign Up

VIEW OUR Privacy Policy


Discover Magazine Logo

WANT MORE? KEEP READING FOR AS LOW AS $1.99!

Subscribe

ALREADY A SUBSCRIBER?

FIND MY SUBSCRIPTION
Advertisement

The Mathematics of Making Up Your Mind

Statisticians are figuring out the equations that underlie subjective decisions.

Newsletter

Sign up for our email newsletter for the latest science news

Sign Up

Two or three times a week, while a life hangs in the balance, James Brophy makes a quick decision. Brophy is a cardiologist at Centre Hospitalier de Verdun, in suburban Montreal, which treats about 300 heart attack victims a year. As they arrive, Brophy orders roughly half of them-- the ones who made it to the hospital quickly enough--to be injected with one of two clot-busting drugs, streptokinase or tissue plasminogen activator (t-PA). All cardiologists agree that both drugs work well: more than 90 percent of all patients who receive either medication survive. Where they disagree is on the question of which of the drugs they should use. To be sure, thick reports convey the results of clinical trials designed to test the relative merits of the two drugs. But unfortunately the meaning of the data is confusing.

Like every other cardiologist--and, most certainly, like every patient--Brophy would like to ...

Stay Curious

JoinOur List

Sign up for our weekly science updates

View our Privacy Policy

SubscribeTo The Magazine

Save up to 40% off the cover price when you subscribe to Discover magazine.

Subscribe
Advertisement

0 Free Articles