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The Sciences

Across North American borders

Gene ExpressionBy Razib KhanAugust 25, 2010 7:11 PM

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There is a border across which fertility drops by a factor of two in North America (defined as from Canada to Panama). Specifically, one nation has a TFR of ~4, and the other ~2. Can you guess the two nations? You can find the answer in the charts below. First, linear: Now, log-transformed: That's right, TFR, Guatemala (4.15) → Mexico (2.21) → United States (2.05) → Canada (1.53) (source, 2005-2010 estimates) Here's GDP PPP per capita: United States ($46,400) → Canada ($38,000) → Mexico ($13,600) → Guatemala ($4,800) This is why the Mexican-Guatemalan border experiences a great deal of traffic.

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