Stay Curious

SIGN UP FOR OUR WEEKLY NEWSLETTER AND UNLOCK ONE MORE ARTICLE FOR FREE.

Sign Up

VIEW OUR Privacy Policy


Discover Magazine Logo

WANT MORE? KEEP READING FOR AS LOW AS $1.99!

Subscribe

ALREADY A SUBSCRIBER?

FIND MY SUBSCRIPTION
Advertisement

How Iceland is Forecasting Eruptions Near Grindavík

Using observations collected over the past few years on the Reykjanes Peninsula, the Icelandic Meteorological Office has been able to offer forecasts on the likelihood of new eruptions near Grindavík.

A view of a recent eruption near Grindavík in Iceland on February 8, 2024.Credit: IMO.

Newsletter

Sign up for our email newsletter for the latest science news

Sign Up

Volcanologists can't predict eruptions. There is no reliable and tested method that can say that a certain volcano will erupt on a certain day or at a certain time. You might see such things on YouTube and elsewhere on the internet, but they are mostly people making patterns where there are none.

However, volcanologists have been getting much better at forecasting eruption likelihood. Now, that might sound a lot like prediction, but it is not. Instead, it is like the weather: they can offer the chances that an eruption might occur over some time period, like a meteorologist might say that we have a 75% chance of a thunderstorm this afternoon. These volcanic forecasts might only be days or hours in advance on an eruption, but even that little warning means getting out of harm's way.

The numerous eruptions over the past few years on the Reykjanes Peninsula in Iceland ...

Stay Curious

JoinOur List

Sign up for our weekly science updates

View our Privacy Policy

SubscribeTo The Magazine

Save up to 40% off the cover price when you subscribe to Discover magazine.

Subscribe
Advertisement

0 Free Articles