By the Numbers: An End to the

By Lauren Gravitz
Nov 1, 2001 6:00 AMNov 12, 2019 4:07 AM


Sign up for our email newsletter for the latest science news

Three decades after ecologist Paul Ehrlich warned of an impending "population bomb," the end of growth may be in sight. Warren Sanderson of the State University of New York at Stony Brook and his colleagues reached this conclusion from an analysis of trends in fertility, life-expectancy, and mortality rates. Not only has the rate of population increase slowed, the overwhelming likelihood--an 85 percent probability--is that the global population will peak before 2100. Clarence Lehman of the University of Minnesota came up with similar results: Looking only at population dynamics, such as how population density affects per capita growth, he reports that the rate peaked in the 1970s and has been falling since.

1 free article left
Want More? Get unlimited access for as low as $1.99/month

Already a subscriber?

Register or Log In

1 free articleSubscribe
Discover Magazine Logo
Want more?

Keep reading for as low as $1.99!


Already a subscriber?

Register or Log In

More From Discover
Recommendations From Our Store
Shop Now
Stay Curious
Our List

Sign up for our weekly science updates.

To The Magazine

Save up to 40% off the cover price when you subscribe to Discover magazine.

Copyright © 2024 Kalmbach Media Co.