Mean surface temperature anomalies for the past month, the past three months, and the past 12 months. (Data: NASA GISS. Maps and graph: Makiko Sato, Columbia University) Last month was the warmest July on record globally, according to independent analyses by NASA, and by the Japan Meteorological Agency. With a significant El Niño likely to continue through the end of the year — and possibly peak as one of the strongest on record — it's looking ever more likely that calendar year 2015 will go down as the warmest on record, and possibly by a large margin.