Environment

It's Getting Close to Hurricane Time

The IntersectionBy Chris MooneyMay 22, 2006 4:30 AM

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This Monday morning at 11 Eastern, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is going to be releasing its first seasonal prediction for Atlantic hurricane activity for 2006. If the prediction is anything like the one that William Gray and Phil Klotzbach of Colorado State University have already released, then NOAA will be calling for another very active season. That will in turn generate quite a lot of chatter (and worry), and I'll do my best to follow whatever play-by-play there is. Of course, it's going to be tricky because tomorrow I have to travel to New York for an evolution talk...but I will do the best I can. More generally, as we move into hurricane season starting June 1, I plan on blogging the heck out of it, so stand by....

P.S.: Another group, the UK team of Drs. Mark Saunders and Adam Lea at the University College-London, are also forecasting a very active Atlantic hurricane season....So I guess it would be kinda surprising if the NOAA forecast was way out of line with that of the Gray group and the Saunders group....

P.P.S.: When will the first storm show up? Who the hell knows, but the first storm of last year was Tropical Storm Arlene, which was named on June 9....

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