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This Equation Calculates the Chances We Live in a Computer Simulation

And scuttles any possibility that we might ever escape.

The Physics arXiv Blog iconThe Physics arXiv Blog
By The Physics arXiv Blog
Aug 28, 2020 7:00 PMAug 29, 2023 2:16 PM
Computer Simulation Life AI Matrix - Shutterstock
(Credit: metamorworks/Shutterstock)

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The Drake equation is one of the more famous reckonings in science. It calculates the likelihood that we are not alone in the universe by estimating the number of other intelligent civilizations in our galaxy that might exist now.

Some of the terms in this equation are well known or becoming better understood, such as the number of stars in our galaxy and the proportion that have planets in the habitable zone. But others are unknown, such as the proportion of planets that develop intelligent life; and some may never be known, such as the proportion that destroy themselves before they can be discovered.

Nevertheless, the Drake equation allows scientists to place important bounds on the numbers of intelligent civilizations that might be out there.

However, there is another sense in which humanity could be linked with an alien intelligence — our world may just be a simulation inside a massively powerful supercomputer run by such a species. Indeed, various scientists, philosophers and visionaries have said that the probability of such a scenario could be close to one. In other words, we probably are living in a simulation.

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